Ukrainian Rapeseed Prices Pressured by Falling Futures and Weak Export Demand

Ukrainian rapeseed prices remain under pressure after a sharp decline in Canadian canola futures. November canola on the Winnipeg exchange fell 6.5% over two sessions to CAD 770/t, amid concerns that potential US tariffs on Canadian canola oil could weaken domestic demand and increase Canadian export availability. November rapeseed futures in Paris subsequently dropped 3.1% to €522/t.

European physical demand is also subdued. Rising river levels are facilitating deliveries to processing plants under previously agreed contracts, while demand for August–September rapeseed remains limited. Prices delivered to factories in the Czech Republic and Germany are reported at €500–505/t for September–October and €520–525/t for December–January.

In Ukraine, export indications stand at $470–490/t in Danube ports and $460–470/t delivered to western-border terminals. Processors are quoting UAH 20,000–21,500/t for rapeseed with 44% oil content, as supply increases and export logistics for rapeseed meal and oil remain unresolved. Farmers may seek to accelerate sales before sunflower, soybean and corn harvesting, when logistics costs could rise by 20–30% in September–October.

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